{"id":1570,"date":"2008-01-03T21:34:20","date_gmt":"2008-01-03T21:34:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/?p=1570"},"modified":"2008-01-03T21:34:20","modified_gmt":"2008-01-03T21:34:20","slug":"contemplating-the-caucuses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/archives\/1570","title":{"rendered":"Contemplating the Caucuses."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m trying not to get all worked up about next year&#8217;s election, since the last time I was thoroughly excited about an election &#150; ahem &#150; things didn&#8217;t go as I&#8217;d hoped. However, I&#8217;ve still got enough political interest left to have me keeping an eye on <a title=\"Election Guide 2008 - Presidential Election - Politics\" href=\"http:\/\/politics.nytimes.com\/election-guide\/2008\/results\/states\/IA.html\">the Iowa caucuses<\/a> tonight, which, for those of you who don&#8217;t follow politics that much, often serve as a sort of canary in the coal mine for who&#8217;s going to land the nomination for each party.  Consider the previous winners of this particular contest:<\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\" cellpadding=\"5\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\" width=\"50%\"><strong>Democrats<\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\" width=\"50%\"><strong>Republicans<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2004 John Kerry<\/td>\n<td>2000 George W. Bush<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2000 Al Gore<\/td>\n<td>1996 Bob Dole<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1992 Tom Harkin<\/td>\n<td>1988 Bob Dole<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1988 Richard A. Gephardt<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1984 Walter F. Mondale<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>At this moment, ~9:20 PM EST, the Dems are reporting an Obama-Edwards-Clinton neck-and-neck-and-neck race, with results at 33.7%, 31.9% and 31.6% respectively.  Total, that&#8217;s 97.4%; Bill Richardson&#8217;s weighing in with 1.7% and Biden&#8217;s at 0.9%, leaving Dodd, Gravel, Ohio&#8217;s local loon Kucinich and all others at 0.0%.  I hadn&#8217;t honestly expected Edwards to be making such a strong showing, but good for him!<br \/>\nWhat interests me even more than the Dems at the moment is the Republican race.  Mike Huckabee&#8217;s been declared the winner already with 35% of the votes, followed by Romney with 24, Thompson with 14.2, McCain with 11.8, Ron Paul with 10.9 and &#150; this is where I cackle with glee &#150; Giuliani with a paltry 3.7%.  Why does this warm my heart?  Because I&#8217;ve found Giuliani&#8217;s campaign technique so far to be utterly deplorable, a despicable attempt to capitalize on the loss of American lives during 9\/11.  Up until I stopped keeping track, for the majority of his campaign <i>every single one of his speeches<\/i> included some sort of reference to 9\/11.  And, by God, I sure hope to high heaven that the next 4-8 years <i>aren&#8217;t<\/i> going to be dictated by the events of 9\/11 as the <i>last<\/i> 4-8 years.<br \/>\n<i>God,<\/i> I miss <i>The West Wing.<\/i>  I loved <i>Charlie Wilson&#8217;s War<\/i> &#150; Aaron, buddy, where are you now that we need you?  We&#8217;re sorry we turned up our noses at <i>Studio 60!<\/i> Please tell us you got your snarking at the TV industry out of your system and are working on a new political series!  We&#8217;re dying out here in an arid wasteland of <i>I Love New York<\/i> and other reality dreck!  Save us!  <i>Please!<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m trying not to get all worked up about next year&#8217;s election, since the last time I was thoroughly excited about an election &#150; ahem &#150; things didn&#8217;t go as I&#8217;d hoped. However, I&#8217;ve still got enough political interest left to have me keeping an eye on the Iowa caucuses tonight, which, for those of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4e5QR-pk","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1570"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1570\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.geoffreylong.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1570"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}